Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000144 0.000160 0.000176 0.000195 0.000217 0.000240 0.000267
2025-08-17 0.000115 0.000137 0.000162 0.000194 0.000233 0.000280 0.000339
2025-08-24 0.000096 0.000121 0.000151 0.000191 0.000244 0.000310 0.000402
2025-08-31 0.000081 0.000107 0.000139 0.000185 0.000247 0.000331 0.000452
2025-09-07 0.000073 0.000099 0.000134 0.000185 0.000258 0.000361 0.000518
2025-09-14 0.000067 0.000094 0.000132 0.000189 0.000273 0.000398 0.000597
2025-09-21 0.000060 0.000087 0.000125 0.000185 0.000278 0.000418 0.000654
2025-09-28 0.000054 0.000080 0.000117 0.000178 0.000275 0.000428 0.000694
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000077 0.000116 0.000180 0.000287 0.000462 0.000777
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000075 0.000115 0.000185 0.000303 0.000502 0.000876
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000070 0.000111 0.000182 0.000307 0.000523 0.000942
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000068 0.000110 0.000184 0.000318 0.000559 0.001041
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000182 0.000323 0.000582 0.001122
2025-11-09 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000181 0.000330 0.000612 0.001221
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000178 0.000333 0.000635 0.001309
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000054 0.000094 0.000172 0.000329 0.000644 0.001368
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000052 0.000092 0.000172 0.000337 0.000679 0.001490
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.000051 0.000092 0.000176 0.000352 0.000728 0.001653
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000172 0.000353 0.000748 0.001748
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000166 0.000346 0.000749 0.001799
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000044 0.000083 0.000168 0.000359 0.000797 0.001974
2026-01-04 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000172 0.000376 0.000856 0.002192
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000041 0.000081 0.000170 0.000378 0.000880 0.002315